Live
Rapid7, Inc.
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · NASDAQ
1260 candles · 5Y · retrieved
Estimated fair value
1.61
Range
0.00–5.81
Price vs value
85% above
Model support
Value
85% above fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
tracking
trends after ~30 days
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
extreme
regime
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Forecast withheld
stale data
No intelligence items published yet.
Price trades 85% above the fair-value estimate — RPD screens as materially overvalued. Only one valuation model is applicable here, so there is no independent cross-check. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
6.2x FY2026 P/E
EPS 1.80+399.6%13 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 11.07
Cash-flow model (DCF): not shown — model inputs out of valid range.
Trailing earnings x own 5Y P/E: not shown — not enough history yet.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, total payout (dividends + net buybacks), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 1.29(fair value 1.61 − 20%)
price is 760% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
Estimate revisions: tracking since 2026-09-03 — trends appear after ~30 days of snapshots.
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 11y of statements
Revenue
$860M
+20% per year over the period
Operating margin
1.3%
5y average -8.7%
Free cash flow
$146M
17.0% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
9.1×
ROE
15.1%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
1.0%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
No revenue-growth or margin assumption inside the model's sanity bounds justifies today's price of 11.07. Either the market expects something far outside historical experience, or the price has detached from fundamentals.
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
— price · fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-13 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.3% | — | — | — | — |
| 50% |
|---|
| 45% |
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| 40% |
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| 35% |
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| 30% |
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| 25% |
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| 20% |
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| 15% |
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| 10% |
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| 5% |
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| 0% |
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Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
| — |
| 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
|---|
| 8.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 8.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 9.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
|---|
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 11.07: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.