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PubMatic, Inc.
Technology · Software - Application · NASDAQ
66 candles · 3M · retrieved
Estimated fair value
10.41
Range
7.34–15.04
Price vs value
40% above
Model support
Value
40% above fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
◆ mixed
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
extreme
regime
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Forecast withheld
stale data
No intelligence items published yet.
Price trades 40% above the fair-value estimate — PUBM screens as materially overvalued. The 2 models disagree widely (dispersion 15.1%) — treat the range, not the midpoint, as the answer. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
117.1x FY2027 P/E
EPS 0.155 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 17.38
Trailing earnings x own 5Y P/E: not shown — earnings are negative or near zero.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, total payout (dividends + net buybacks), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 8.33(fair value 10.41 − 20%)
price is 109% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
◆ Estimates mixed (revenue +5.1% · EPS -72.4% · targets 0.0% this month)
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 8y of statements
Revenue
$283M
+16% per year over the period
Operating margin
-6.1%
5y average 7.5%
Free cash flow
$67M
23.6% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.7×
net cash position
ROE
-5.5%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
-8.5%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Buybacks
$46M
share repurchases, latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
These are what the market must believe, not what Previct forecasts. If the priced-in assumptions look impossible, the price is fragile; if they look easy, the bar is low.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-13 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 8.54 | 8.79 | 9.12 | 9.58 | 10.26 |
| 8.6% | 8.07 | 8.26 | 8.51 | 8.85 | 9.33 |
| 9.1% | 7.64 |
Terminal value is 62% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
| 50% |
|---|
| 45% |
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| 40% |
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| 35% |
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| 30% |
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| 25% |
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| 20% |
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| 15% |
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| 10% |
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| 5% |
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| 0% |
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Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — 1 of 100 combinations work. If they all sit at heroic growth or margins, the price is demanding.
| 7.79 |
| 7.98 |
| 8.23 |
| 8.58 |
| 9.6% | 7.27 | 7.38 | 7.53 | 7.71 | 7.97 |
|---|
| 10.1% | 6.93 | 7.02 | 7.13 | 7.27 | 7.45 |
|---|
| 10.6% | 6.63 | 6.7 | 6.78 | 6.88 | 7.02 |
|---|
| 11.1% | 6.36 | 6.41 | 6.47 | 6.55 | 6.64 |
|---|
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 17.38: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.