Aevex Corp.
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NYSE
66 candles · 3M · retrieved
Estimated fair value
6.73
Range
6.23–7.61
Price vs value
57% above
Model support
Value
57% above fair value
confidence low
Estimate momentum
▲ improving
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
—
building depth
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Price trades 57% above the fair-value estimate — AVEX screens as materially overvalued. Only one valuation model is applicable here, so there is no independent cross-check. A valuation gap is not a timing signal and currently has zero ranking weight.
Forward earnings lens
36.2x FY2026 P/E
EPS 0.444 analysts
Shown as context, not blended into fair value, while genuine point-in-time forward-multiple history accumulates.
Where estimates sit vs price 15.74
Cash-flow model (DCF): not shown — model inputs out of valid range.
Trailing earnings x own 5Y P/E: not shown — earnings are negative or near zero.
Not meaningful for this company type: excess returns model (financials), path-to-profitability (scenario), dividend discount model, total payout (dividends + net buybacks), p/ocf vs peer reits (ffo proxy).
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 5.38(fair value 6.73 − 20%)
price is 192% above your threshold
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
▲ Estimates improving (revenue +17.6% · EPS +22.6% · targets -6.4% this month)
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 1y of statements
Revenue
$433M
Operating margin
1.0%
5y average 1.0%
Free cash flow
−$106M
-24.5% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.0×
net cash position
ROE
-0.3%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
1.8%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Dividends paid
$5M
latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
No revenue-growth or margin assumption inside the model's sanity bounds justifies today's price of 15.74. Either the market expects something far outside historical experience, or the price has detached from fundamentals.
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% |
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-08-14 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — |
NEW ORLEANS, Sept. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- ClaimsFiler, a FREE shareholder information service, reminds investors that they have until October 20, 2026 to file lead plaintiff applications in a securities class action lawsuit against AEVEX Corp. (“Aevex” or the “Company”) (NYSE: AVEX), if they purchased or otherwise acquired Aevex's publicly traded Class A common stock between April 17, 2026 and June 4, 2026, inclusive (the “Class Period”) and/or pursuant or traceable to the registration statement and prospectus (the “IPO Offering Documents”) issued in connection with Aevex's April 17, 2026 initial public offering (“IPO”).
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Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
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| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 8.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 9.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 9.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
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Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 15.74: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.