Today
Today
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BP p.l.c.
Value
Model value 88% above price
Estimate momentum
tracking
trends after ~30 days
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
—
building depth
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Estimated fair value
15.58
Range
6.38–31.30
Model value vs price
88% above price
Model value is 88% above price. Compare the individual methods below; a valuation gap is not a timing signal.
Forward earnings lens
6.3x FY2026 P/E
EPS 1.33+38907.9%4 analystsreported FY2025
Consensus earnings estimates are shown separately from the valuation models.
Where estimates sit vs price 8.29
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 12.46(fair value 15.58 − 20%)
price is inside your band
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
Estimate revisions: tracking since 2026-10-31 — trends appear after ~30 days of snapshots.
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 8y of statements
Revenue
$189.3B
-6% per year over the period
Operating margin
8.2%
5y average 15.0%
Free cash flow
$11.3B
6.0% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2×
ROE
0.1%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
13.7%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Dividends paid
$5.1B
latest year
Buybacks
$4.5B
share repurchases, latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
Each solve varies one assumption while holding the other cash-flow assumptions fixed.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Terminal value is 67% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
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| 45% | ||||||||||
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| 35% | ||||||||||
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| 10% | ||||||||||
| 5% | ||||||||||
| 0% |
Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-10-30 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 17.78 | 20.13 | 23.83 | 30.47 | 45.96 |
| 6.0% | 15.89 | 17.69 | 20.39 | 24.89 | 33.88 |
| 6.5% | 14.29 | 15.69 | 17.72 | 20.9 | 26.62 |
| 7.0% | 12.92 | 14.03 | 15.58 | 17.9 | 21.77 |
| 7.5% | 11.74 | 12.63 | 13.83 | 15.57 | 18.3 |
| 8.0% | 10.72 | 11.43 | 12.38 | 13.7 | 15.7 |
| 8.5% | 9.81 | 10.39 | 11.15 | 12.18 | 13.66 |
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 8.29: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.
126 candles · 6M · retrieved