Today
Today
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BP p.l.c.
Value
Model value 88% above price
Estimate momentum
tracking
trends after ~30 days
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
—
building depth
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Estimated fair value
15.57
Range
6.35–31.35
Model value vs price
88% above price
Model value is 88% above price. Compare the individual methods below; a valuation gap is not a timing signal.
Forward earnings lens
6.1x FY2026 P/E
EPS 1.35+39569.4%4 analystsreported FY2025
Consensus earnings estimates are shown separately from the valuation models.
Where estimates sit vs price 8.29
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 12.45(fair value 15.57 − 20%)
price is inside your band
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
Estimate revisions: tracking since 2026-11-01 — trends appear after ~30 days of snapshots.
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 8y of statements
Revenue
$189.3B
-6% per year over the period
Operating margin
8.2%
5y average 15.0%
Free cash flow
$11.3B
6.0% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2×
ROE
0.1%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
13.7%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Dividends paid
$5.1B
latest year
Buybacks
$4.5B
share repurchases, latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
Each solve varies one assumption while holding the other cash-flow assumptions fixed.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Terminal value is 67% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
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| 45% | ||||||||||
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| 35% | ||||||||||
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| 10% | ||||||||||
| 5% | ||||||||||
| 0% |
Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-10-30 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 17.77 | 20.12 | 23.82 | 30.46 | 45.96 |
| 6.0% | 15.88 | 17.68 | 20.38 | 24.88 | 33.88 |
| 6.5% | 14.28 | 15.68 | 17.71 | 20.89 | 26.61 |
| 7.0% | 12.91 | 14.02 | 15.57 | 17.89 | 21.76 |
| 7.5% | 11.73 | 12.62 | 13.82 | 15.56 | 18.29 |
| 8.0% | 10.7 | 11.42 | 12.36 | 13.69 | 15.68 |
| 8.5% | 9.8 | 10.38 | 11.13 | 12.16 | 13.65 |
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 8.29: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.
126 candles · 6M · retrieved