Today
Today
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No forecasts reference BP in the active snapshot. Forecast slots populate as engines cover this instrument.
BP p.l.c.
66 candles · 3M · retrieved
Value
Model value 31% above price
Estimate momentum
tracking
trends after ~30 days
Next catalyst
none scheduled
Volatility
—
building depth
1M forecast
withheld
Value tells you the size of the gap; the other cells tell you what could close it — and when. A cheap stock without a catalyst can stay cheap.
Estimated fair value
66.16
Range
15.76–158.48
Model value vs price
31% above price
Model value is 31% above price. Compare the individual methods below; a valuation gap is not a timing signal.
Forward earnings lens
6.3x FY2026 P/E
EPS 7.95+38861.5%12 analystsreported FY2025
Consensus earnings estimates are shown separately from the valuation models.
Where estimates sit vs price 50.39
Cheap or expensive — depending on the yardstick
Entry threshold
below 52.93(fair value 66.16 − 20%)
price is inside your band
A valuation threshold, not a timing signal — a cheap stock can keep falling. Alerts wire in when the notification substrate lands.
Estimate revisions: tracking since 2026-10-31 — trends appear after ~30 days of snapshots.
Company profile at a glance
Bars are scaled to documented anchors (e.g. 35% operating margin = full bar), not ranked against other companies. Each row stands on its own — there is no hidden total score.
Financials at a glance· latest reported year · 8y of statements
Revenue
$189.3B
-6% per year over the period
Operating margin
8.2%
5y average 10.7%
Free cash flow
$11.3B
6.0% of revenue
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5×
ROE
0.1%
net income ÷ equity
ROIC
12.1%
after-tax operating profit ÷ capital
Dividends paid
$5.1B
latest year
Buybacks
$4.5B
share repurchases, latest year
Where the revenue dollar went · FY2025
What the current price is assuming
Each solve varies one assumption while holding the other cash-flow assumptions fixed.
What the DCF is made of — present value by year (base case)
Terminal value is 70% of the total. Solid years are consensus-anchored; lighter years fade to the stable rate.
Which growth × margin combinations justify today's price
| margin ↓ / growth → | -5% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 40% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | ||||||||||
| 55% | ||||||||||
| 50% | ||||||||||
| 45% | ||||||||||
| 40% | ||||||||||
| 35% | ||||||||||
| 30% | ||||||||||
| 25% | ||||||||||
| 20% | ||||||||||
| 15% | ||||||||||
| 10% | ||||||||||
| 5% | ||||||||||
| 0% |
Sage cells are the assumption pairs that make the model value equal today's price (±2%) — none inside these bounds — the price asks for more than this grid allows.
Price vs fair value through time
— price · — fair value (band = bear–bull). Vintages accumulating since 2026-10-30 (recorded at compute time; no historical backfill).
Fair value if assumptions move — discount rate × terminal growth
| discount rate ↓ | g 0% | g 1% | g 2% | g 3% | g 4% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | 80.3 | 91.7 | 110.37 | 146.56 | 194.28 |
| 5.6% | 70.17 | 78.56 | 91.57 | 114.47 | 165.43 |
| 6.1% | 61.73 | 68.01 | 77.33 | 92.6 | 122.21 |
| 6.6% | 54.58 | 59.34 | 66.16 | 76.74 | 95.35 |
| 7.1% | 48.46 | 52.1 | 57.18 | 64.7 | 77.03 |
| 7.6% | 43.16 | 45.97 | 49.79 | 55.25 | 63.72 |
| 8.1% | 38.53 | 40.71 | 43.61 | 47.63 | 53.6 |
Cells compare each implied fair value with the current price 50.39: green above it, burgundy below. Outlined cell = base case.