Intelligence

How PREVICT earns conviction

Live engine readiness, independent agreement and the evidence gates behind every forecast.

Forecast Council

Shadow evaluation

Eligible sources

0

Independent views

0

Shadow P(up)

—

Disagreement

Not measurable

No governed consensus yet

Not enough eligible, fresh evidence for a Council read.

SPY · 1M · would abstain

What prevents promotion

  • · Needs a second independent eligible source
  • · Shadow track record is still building

Edge Engines

0 active · 0 shadow · 2 candidate
  • RESEARCH

    1 · Opening-range continuation

    Research effect documented; point-in-time replication has not started.

    Conditional intraday continuation after a qualified opening range.

    0/200 resolved · Not Council eligible

    Evidence

    B

    Deployability

    D

  • RESEARCH

    2 · Liquidity-conditioned reversal

    Research effect documented; liquidity feature plane is not available.

    Short-term reversal conditioned on liquidity and market quality.

    0/200 resolved · Not Council eligible

    Evidence

    B

    Deployability

    D

  • CANDIDATE

    3 · Earnings underreaction

    Live research reads remain visible; delayed or missing inputs reduce timeliness and coverage.

    Post-earnings drift candidates from point-in-time results, guidance and reaction.

    0/200 resolved · Not Council eligible

    Evidence

    B

    Deployability

    C

  • RESEARCH

    4 · Cross-sectional momentum

    The feature plane is available; the independent reducer and walk-forward protocol are not frozen.

    Medium-term trend and relative-strength hypotheses across the equity universe.

    0/200 resolved · Not Council eligible

    Evidence

    A

    Deployability

    C

  • CANDIDATE

    5 · Volatility dislocation

    The production chain adapter is configured; its entitled read-only session is unavailable.

    Implied volatility versus forecast volatility and event-implied movement.

    0/200 resolved · Not Council eligible

    Evidence

    A

    Deployability

    D

  • RESEARCH

    6 · Quality-moat value

    Method specified; vintage-aware fundamentals and replication are not complete.

    Long-horizon quality, value and panic-accumulation research sleeve.

    0/200 resolved · Not Council eligible

    Evidence

    B

    Deployability

    D

Promotion law

1 · Produce

Candidate and shadow engines may publish research reads, but cannot influence official forecasts.

2 · Resolve

Every point-in-time output resolves against the same horizon and cost-aware baselines.

3 · Earn weight

Only positive measured skill, freshness and independence earn Council weight.