Earnings intelligence
Earnings Signals
A clear read on the latest earnings surprise, its evidence, and what could invalidate the call.
XYL
Xylem Inc.FY2026 · Q3 · reaction revision
Short bias
EPS missed estimates by 0.7%; Revenue missed estimates by 3.5%; guidance lowered; fresh reaction -8.3%.
Evidence coverage
100%
Completeness,
not win probability
- Release
- mixed
- Guidance
- lowered
- Market reaction
- -8.31%
EPS
1.44
Consensus 1.45 USD/share
REVENUE
2,200
Consensus 2,279.946 USDm
Recent signals
- PWROriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 20.7%; Revenue beat estimates by 8.8%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +7.1%.
- ENTGOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 19.4%; Revenue beat estimates by 8.7%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +1.7%.
- APHOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
Revenue beat estimates by 7.8%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +2.9%.
- LHOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 3.0%; Revenue beat estimates by 1.4%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +8.9%.
- GEVOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
Revenue beat estimates by 5.1%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +1.7%.
- BIIBOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 32.3%; Revenue beat estimates by 6.3%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +0.5%.
Today’s reports
There are no higher-impact or watchlist earnings events in today’s live calendar.
Why the model sees it this way
- EPS: 1.44 reported vs 1.45 consensus · below consensus.
- REVENUE: 2,200 reported vs 2,279.946 consensus · below consensus.
- Guidance was lowered.
- The measured market reaction was -8.31%.
Risks & open questions
- Still missing: standardized eps surprise.
- Still missing: reaction spread bps.
Signal track record
ResearchCurrent verdict
The live record is still building
8 directional calls have resolved. That is below the 200-event evidence gate, so results remain preliminary.
Resolved calls
8 / 200
minimum evidence gate
| Horizon | Calls | Direction correct | Net mean | vs drift | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +3 sessions | 12 | 58.3% | +1.69% | +2.94% | -1.99…4.21% |
Evidence history2 revisions
Revision history
- Revision 1 · fast release · negative ·
- Revision 2 · reaction revision · negative ·