Earnings intelligence
Earnings Signals
A clear read on the latest earnings surprise, its evidence, and what could invalidate the call.
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.FY2026 · Q3 · reaction revision
Long bias
EPS beat estimates by 3.4%; Revenue beat estimates by 1.0%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +2.1%.
Evidence coverage
100%
Completeness,
not win probability
- Release
- mixed
- Guidance
- raised
- Market reaction
- +2.08%
EPS
4.58
Consensus 4.43 USD/share
REVENUE
3,678
Consensus 3,642.74 USDm
Recent signals
- PWROriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 20.7%; Revenue beat estimates by 8.8%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +7.1%.
- ENTGOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 19.4%; Revenue beat estimates by 8.7%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +1.7%.
- APHOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
Revenue beat estimates by 7.8%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +2.9%.
- LHOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 3.0%; Revenue beat estimates by 1.4%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +8.9%.
- GEVOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
Revenue beat estimates by 5.1%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +1.7%.
- BIIBOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 32.3%; Revenue beat estimates by 6.3%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +0.5%.
Today’s reports
There are no higher-impact or watchlist earnings events in today’s live calendar.
Why the model sees it this way
- EPS: 4.58 reported vs 4.43 consensus · above consensus.
- REVENUE: 3,678 reported vs 3,642.74 consensus · above consensus.
- Guidance was raised.
- The measured market reaction was +2.08%.
Risks & open questions
- Still missing: standardized eps surprise.
- Still missing: reaction spread bps.
Signal track record
ResearchCurrent verdict
Profitability is not established
No current-model directional call has resolved yet. PREVICT cannot honestly claim this signal is profitable or unprofitable.
Resolved calls
0 / 200
minimum evidence gate
Evidence history2 revisions
Revision history
- Revision 1 · fast release · positive ·
- Revision 2 · reaction revision · positive ·