Earnings intelligence
Earnings Signals
A clear read on the latest earnings surprise, its evidence, and what could invalidate the call.
SW
Smurfit Westrock plcFY2026 · Q3 · reaction revision
Short bias
Revenue missed estimates by 1.6%; guidance lowered; fresh reaction -1.6%.
Evidence coverage
75%
Completeness,
not win probability
- Release
- negative
- Guidance
- lowered
- Market reaction
- -1.57%
EPS
—
Consensus 0.596 USD/share
REVENUE
8,161
Consensus 8,294.848 USDm
Recent signals
- PWROriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 20.7%; Revenue beat estimates by 8.8%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +7.1%.
- ENTGOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 19.4%; Revenue beat estimates by 8.7%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +1.7%.
- APHOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
Revenue beat estimates by 7.8%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +2.9%.
- LHOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 3.0%; Revenue beat estimates by 1.4%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +8.9%.
- GEVOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
Revenue beat estimates by 5.1%; guidance raised; one-time EPS benefit identified; fresh reaction +1.7%.
- BIIBOriginal view: Bullish
Issued
EPS beat estimates by 32.3%; Revenue beat estimates by 6.3%; guidance raised; fresh reaction +0.5%.
Today’s reports
Why the model sees it this way
- EPS: — reported vs 0.596 consensus · consensus comparison incomplete.
- REVENUE: 8,161 reported vs 8,294.848 consensus · below consensus.
- Guidance was lowered.
- The measured market reaction was -1.57%.
Risks & open questions
- Still missing: eps actual and estimate.
- Still missing: standardized eps surprise.
- Still missing: reaction spread bps.
Signal track record
ResearchCurrent verdict
Profitability is not established
No current-model directional call has resolved yet. PREVICT cannot honestly claim this signal is profitable or unprofitable.
Resolved calls
0 / 200
minimum evidence gate
Evidence history3 revisions
Revision history
- Revision 1 · fast release · abstain ·
- Revision 2 · fast release · negative ·
- Revision 3 · reaction revision · negative ·